AMS5 Statistics

Spring 2009,



Notes will be added to the bottom of this page as the quarter progresses.

Please check back regularly to keep up to date with items posted there.



General Class Information

Lecture Times: Tuesday and Thursday, 2pm – 3.45pm, Baskin Auditorium 101

Instructor

Robin Morris (email: rdm @ soe.ucsc.edu – please put “AMS5” in the subject line)

Phone: email is preferred; (650) 966 5035 if desperate

Office: Baskin Engineering 133

Instructor Office Hours

Tuesdays, 11am - noon, Thursdays, noon - 1pm

TAs

Angela Pignotti (pignotti @ soe.ucsc.edu)

Chris Simon (csimon @ soe.ucsc.edu)

Saheli Datta (saheli @ soe.ucsc.edu)

Sections

Tuesday 10-11.10am, Oakes Acad 102 (Chris Simon)

Wednesday 8-9.10am, Oakes Acad 102 (Chris Simon)

Wednesday 7-8.10pm, J Baskin Engineering 372 (Angela Pignotti)

Thursday 8.30-9.40am, Cowell Acad 113 (Chris Simon)

Friday 2-3.10pm, J Baskin Engineering 165 (Angela Pignotti)

Friday 3.30-4.40pm, J Baskin Engineering 165 (Angela Pignotti)


Tutoring

AMS5 has a designated tutor, Vina Patel, who has extensive experience with this class. To sign up for free tutoring, go to the UCSC Learning Support Services On-Line Tutor Sign-up System.

MSI

AMS5 has Modified Supplemental Instruction available. Matt Pecenco ( mpecenco @ ucsc.edu ) is the MSI Learning Assistant.

MSI hours are Monday 7pm at ARCenter 203, Tuesday 8pm at ARCenter 203, Wednesday 3:30pm at Oakes Learning Center.

Handouts

Syllabus

Notes from Thursday April 23rd (part 1)

Notes from Thursday April 23rd (part 2)

Last quarter's midterm

Midterm (with solutions)

Notes from Tuesday May 14th (part 1)

Notes from Tuesday May 14th (part 2)

Notes From Tuesday May 14th (part 3)

Notes from Thursday May 15th

Notes from Tuesday May 19th

Notes from Thursday May 21st (part 1)

Notes from Thursday May 21st (part 2)

Notes from Tuesday May 26th



Practice Final

Review (part 1)

Review (part 2)

Solutions to the Practice Final



Please note that the review slides above do not cover the 2-sample z-test. You should review that material from the textbook.

Textbook

Statistics (4th edition), D. Freedman, R. Pisani and R. Purves, W.W. Norton & Company. ISBN 0-393-92972-8.



Other books that may be useful are Struck by Lightning: the curious world of probabilities, Jeffrey S. Rosenthal, and How to Lie With Statistics, Darrell Huff.



Schedule

Date

Topic

Chapter

Homework

Tu 31st March

Introduction; Why Statistics? Data types



Th 2nd April

Controlled experiments; observational studies

1,2

Chapter 2 (p 20), A2, A6, A8, A9, A10

Tu 7th April

Sample surveys; the histogram

19,3

Chapter 19, A2, A6, A8, A11, A12

Chapter 3, A1, A3, A4, A7, B1, B3, C2, E1

Th 9th April

Average and standard deviation; Normal approximation

(quiz)

4,5

Chapter 4, A2, A4, A6, A8, B1, B2, B5, C1, C4, D1, D8, E4, E8

Chapter 5, A1, B1, B3, C2, D5

Tu 14th April

Introduction to probability

13

Chapter 13, A1, B1, B2, B4, C4, D1, D3, D7

Th 16th April

More probability

(quiz)

14

Chapter 14, A1, A2, B1, B4

Tu 21st April

Binomial Formula; Law of Averages

15, 16

Chapter 15, A1, A4, A5

Chapter 16, A3, A6, B2, C3

Th 23rd April

Expected value and standard error; Normal approximation for probability histograms

(quiz)

17,18

Chapter 17, A1, A2, B1, B4, C1, C2, C5, E9

Chapter 18, A1, A3, A6, B1, B3, C5, C6

Tu 28th April

Review



Th 30th April

Midterm Exam



Tu 5th May

NOTE: We've got about one class behind the planned schedule. Please bear this in mind when doing homework problems.



Chance errors in sampling; the accuracy of percentages

20, 21

Chapter 20, A1, A2, A5, B1, B3, C1, C4

Chapter 21, A2, A7, A8, B1, B4, C4, C8

Th 7th May

The accuracy of averages; Hypothesis testing

23, 26

Chapter 23, A2, A3, A5, B4, B6, D1, D2

Chapter 26 B2, B5, C1, C4, C7, D1, D4, E2, E3, E10, F7 (not part c)

Tu 12th May

Hypothesis testing

26


Th 14th May

More hypothesis testing

(quiz)

27,28

Chapter 27, A1, A4, A6, B2, B5, B7

Chapter 28, A3, A4, A9, C2, C3

Tu 19th May

A closer look at tests of significance

(Measurement error; plotting – please read on your own)

29



6,7

Chapter 29, A2, B1, B8, C2, C6

Th 21st May

Correlation

(quiz)

8,9

Chapter 8, A2, A6, B1, B6, D1

Tu 26th May

More Correlation

8,9

Chapter 9, A2, A3, A4, A5, A10, B4, C1, E3, E4

Th 28th May

Regression

(quiz)

10

Chapter 10, A1, A4, C2, C5, D2

Tu 2nd June

RMS error for regression; regression line

11,12

Chapter 11, A2, A4, A7, B1, C1, D1, D6

Chapter 12, A2, B1

Th 4th June

Review



THURSDAY June 11th

FINAL EXAM (8am-11am)





Additional information:

Notes

DRC

If you qualify for classroom accommodations because of a disability, please submit your Accommodation Authorization from the Disability Resource Center (DRC) to me during my office hours in a timely manner, preferably within the first two weeks of the quarter. Contact DRC at 459-2089 V, 459-4806 TTY.



Academic Integrity

You are reminded of the University's Policy on Academic Integrity. I hope not to have to remind any of you individually about this policy.



Some Thoughts About Lectures

"In Praise of Lectures" gives some ideas about the purpose of lectures, note-taking, and not being afraid to ask questions. It's target audience is more advanced mathematics students, but everything it says applies here. Think about the ideas it presents, and you will have a better time in AMS5 lectures. In particular

  • Lectures complement reading the textbook. In lectures I can spend extra time explaining ideas that students find confusing or difficult. I can try to judge from your behaviour your level of comprehension and adjust what I say accordingly.

  • I am not, however, a mind-reader. If you have questions, please ask them. If you don't understand something, chances are there are others who don't understand either, but are more inhibited than you are.

  • If you don't want to concentrate on the lecture, you're not required to attend. Please be considerate of those who do want to concentrate.

  • The lectures will present the material, but you will only know if you truly understand it if you try the homework problems. Only by applying the ideas yourself will you know that you have mastered them. “I went to a lecture on the violin, but when I tried playing one it sounded horrid. The lecturer can't have been any good.”

  • If you are having difficulties, please come and see me during office hours. Do this early in the quarter, rather than a week before the final exam. My goal is for everyone to understand and be comfortable with the material. If this is also your goal, I'm willing to do what's needed to help you achieve that goal.